What are the Most Likely Outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War?

President Biden should rethink the wisdom of continuing his risky strategy of providing a 'blank check' of US military support to Ukraine that could provoke Russia to use tactical nukes to win the war

The Russo-Ukrainian war is entering a more dangerous phase as the US and NATO continue to escalate their conflict against Russia with ever increasing economic sanctions and massive numbers of weapons to kill as many Russian troops and destroy as many Russian tanks and other military assets as possible. Having failed to achieve Russia’s original goal of regime change by capturing the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv, Putin has fallen back to a much more limited objective of carving out a narrower buffer zone for Russia in eastern and southern Ukraine.

Western leaders continue to underestimate Russian President Vladimir Putin’s unbroken determination to continue Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine until he retakes control of Ukraine’s eastern Donbass region, either by force or as part of a peace deal ending the war, even if it means he must escalate to the use of Russia’s most powerful cyber, Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) or even nuclear weapons in order to do so. Even worse, they have failed to provide him with a face-saving exit ramp which would enable him to withdraw Russian troops from most of the territory Russia has occupied as part of a negotiated peace agreement which recognizes its vital security interests, further increasing the chances the conflict will spiral up to the nuclear level.