Communist China Reportedly Moves up its Timeline to Invade Taiwan to October
My hard-hitting radio interview detailing why adopting an America First foreign and national security policy is our only hope to avert the outbreak of World War III with China later this year
One of China’s newly built PLAN Type 075 amphibious assault carrier that would lead their invasion of Taiwan
The US is running out of time to engage in a critically important foreign policy course correction to avert a disastrous and likely unwinnable world war with the Sino-Russian alliance that would likely quickly escalate to the nuclear and EMP level. For the past several years, I have been predicting a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would occur no later than 2025. Since Biden was elected President, I have predicted that China would invade Taiwan no later than 2024 to take advantage of the window of vulnerability with having a lifelong Communist Chinese ally in the White House. Now, we have a report that indicates that “news from the past two months has seen China seemingly adopt a war time footing, with domestic planning for a war time economy”. Taking advantage of current US military preoccupation with Russia in Eastern Europe, Communist China appears to be moving up its timeline to invade Taiwan to late September/October. A couple weeks ago, Putin reportedly called an emergency meeting at the Kremlin of his inner circle a couple weeks ago in which the Chinese reportedly laid out their plans to invade Taiwan along with the planned invasion date with the goal of full annexation of Taiwan by the end of this year.
I discussed this increasing threat of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in my best, most hardest hitting radio interviews yet on the “We the People” radio show hosted by former Congressional Candidate and America First conservative Jason Preston yesterday in which I discuss Russia, China, the war in Ukraine and the coming invasion of Taiwan along with a wide range of topics relating to national security and the future of our country. Here is a link to my interview which starts at Minute 7:40. Central to our discussion was my observation that had the US pursued an America First policy, rather than the America Last foreign policy championed by neoconservative Republicans and liberal internationalist Democrats after the end of the Cold War and refrained from expanding NATO eastward and sending US military forces into Russia’s and China’s spheres of influence, the US would not be on the verge of a nuclear/EMP war with the Sino-Russian alliance right now.
The Chinese could opt to impose a naval and air blockade of Taiwan to force them to surrender as they only have sufficient food available to feed their population for a few months. They would also likely use massive cyberattacks to take out Taiwan’s critical infrastructure and communications with the outside world. This would prevent the Western powers from being able to provide Taiwan with food, humanitarian or military assistance. Any attempt by the US to break the Chinese blockade would result in US planes being shot down and ships being sunk, causing the outbreak of World War Three. Meanwhile, North Korea, which is a Chinese vassal state, would likely invade South Korea in tandem with a Chinese attack on Taiwan leading to the potential outbreak of a two or three front war for the US.
Chinese troops practicing amphibious landings under conditions similar to what they would encounter when they invade Taiwan
What makes this more dangerous than the Russian invasion of Ukraine is that Biden has provided strategic clarity, not that the US will stay out of the fight as he did before Russia invaded Ukraine, but rather the exact opposite, stating repeatedly that the US will send its military to defend Taiwan from Chinese invasion. Accordingly, this will likely lead China to engage in pre-emptive air and missile strikes against US military targets in the region before they invade and then we will have the outbreak of World War III which likely will escalate to the nuclear/EMP level fairly quickly. I have been speculating for months now that the likely reason Russia was holding back retaliating against us was to wait for China to join the fight so they could hit us with a massive cyberattack and make us think China did it. If so, Putin might finally get his revenge against Biden and the US for our undeclared war against Russia.
In a wargame conducted by the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) during their recent “Security in the Balance” Conference, the “Red Team” engaged in preemptive Pearl Harbor-style attacks against US air and naval bases in Japan, Guam and the Northern Marianas before they invaded Taiwan starting World War III to prevent them from intervening. In the wargame, the US responded by using attack submarines to sink PLA Navy cruisers and destroyers to allow the US to stage a conventional strike to somehow destroy China's military headquarters directing the invasion in mainland China. The PRC then responded by detonating a nuclear weapon over Hawaii. Over the past couple of decades, all US military wargames showed us losing potential wars over Eastern Europe and Taiwan to Russia and China respectively for the exact same reason—because both adversaries quickly escalated to the use of unconventional cyber, EMP and nuclear weapons. This wargame was not very realistic because Communist China would automatically assume that any inbound US bombers or missiles that were approaching mainland Chinese territory were nuclear armed and would respond by launching nuclear and EMP weapons against US targets very likely including the US homeland.
After the wargame discussion, they interviewed House Armed Services Committee Rep. Adam Smith who is the leading force trying to dismantle America's nuclear triad, which has succeeded in keeping the nuclear peace for the past 77 years. NBC Meet the Press host Chuck Todd concludes that the main takeaway of the wargame is that the US needs to create "an Asian NATO" and that we need to deploy a lot more military forces in the Far East to successfully repulse a Chinese invasion of Taiwan but of course that would just serve to increase the nuclear tripwires the US has in the region all but ensuring the near-term outbreak of a nuclear World War III with China.
President Joe Biden has stated on three different occasions since he became President that he would send US military forces to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese military attack against them. With this advanced foreknowledge of US military intervention in their planned attempt to use military force to reunify with Taiwan, logically, Chinese leaders would opt to engage in pre-emptive strikes against US military bases in the Far East and Western Pacific before conducting an amphibious invasion of Taiwan. However, as the Hunter Biden laptop, which has been verified by the liberal media such as the New York Times and Washington Post has revealed, we know that President Biden is heavily compromised by Communist China, having been personally enriched to the tune of millions of dollars from his son Hunter’s corrupt “pay to play for influence” business dealings with Chinese People’s Liberation Army and People’s Armed Police-controlled companies.
Therefore, Chinese President Xi Jingping may decide that since Biden is in his words “an old friend” of Communist China who has spent his life appeasing Beijing in order to personally enrich his own family, Xi may calculate that pre-emptive attacks on US military forces in the Far East and western Pacific region are unnecessary because he believes that Biden would act the same way he has reacted to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine with US arms shipments and economic sanctions but not direct military intervention. While we can certainly hope that Chinese leaders react that way because if they attack US military bases then it will automatically draw the US into a Third World War which it is likely President Biden does not really want, we have to assume the worst which is that they will take Biden at his word and attack US bases without warning at the onset of any Sino-Taiwanese military conflict. Biden might want to react to such Chinese attacks killing thousands of US military personnel in a single day with a diplomatic negotiated peace agreement averting a world war, the political and military pressure upon him would be overwhelming to respond in kind leading to an extremely dangerous escalation spiral up the nuclear ladder.
Chinese road mobile DF-41 ICBMs which carry ten times more nuclear warhead than US ICBM’s. The PRC will deploy 350 new DF-41’s by 2024, giving them a crushing advantage over the US in terms of strategic nuclear warheads
Accordingly, I believe the main lesson learned is that Biden should provide the same strategic clarity he provided with regards to Ukraine for Taiwan which is that the US will provide arms to Taiwan to help it defend itself but that it will not intervene militarily in the event a Sino-Taiwanese war breaks out. That is the only way we can have reasonable assurance that the PRC will not engage in a preemptive and potentially nuclear/EMP first strike on US targets before they invade. The immediate need for President Biden to establish strategic clarity with Taiwan has never been greater in order to avert am unnecessary and catastrophic US war with China. But even if he did not, if Biden were to follow Dr. Peter Pry’s advice to make peace, not war, with Russia and form a strategic partnership with them, Russia would stay out of a Sino-American war. Otherwise, I strongly suspect they will become an active participant in China's direct shooting war against us to hit us back hard for Biden's policy of national suicide in Ukraine. Here is a link to my 15 point peace plan to end the Russo-Ukrainian War that was the top read article in The National Interest for over a week after it was published.
US policymakers need to understand that neither Ukraine or Taiwan are vital US national interests worth the deaths of tens of millions of Americans in a nuclear/EMP war. If we were to implement the America First foreign policy that I have outlined, and Biden gave the same guarantee to China as he gave to Russia regarding Ukraine that we would not intervene militarily in their invasion of Taiwan and pledged the US would stay out of their spheres of influence in the South China Sea as I have been advocating for the past few years they would probably leave us alone and we could all coexist peacefully. Then we could avoid an unnecessary World War III with Russia or China and preserve the great power peace for decades to come, giving us time to rebuild our strategic nuclear arsenal, build a comprehensive national missile defense system and harden our electrical power grid and other critical infrastructure against EMP attack.
© David T. Pyne 2022
David T. Pyne, Esq. is a former U.S. Army combat arms and H.Q. staff officer with an M.A. in National Security Studies from Georgetown University. He currently serves as Deputy Director of National Operations for the EMP Task Force on National and Homeland Security and is a contributor to Dr. Peter Pry’s new book Blackout Warfare. He also serves as the host of the Defend America Radio Show on KTALK AM 1640 and as Editor of “The Real War” newsletter at dpyne.substack.com. He may be reached at email@example.com