Dispute Over US Presidential Election Results Will Likely Result in Unprecedented Civil Disorder

China will likely seek to exploit post-election chaos to blockade Taiwan and massively cyberattack the US homeland if Biden makes good on his pledge to defend Taiwan militarily

President Joe Biden giving a speech on September 1, 2022, railing against the alleged threat from eighty million Trump supporters whom he has denounced as domestic violent extremists, comparing them to Nazis. In fact, the greatest domestic security threat the US has ever faced is from Biden himself given his close Communist Chinese business ties and his decidedly un-American penchant for authoritarianism as well as his decision to authorize the use of deadly force against President Trump and his supporters.

Communist China has been employing what it calls “disintegration warfare’ to sow chaos in the US and divide Americans against each other along race, gender and class lines as never before. In furtherance of this end, Beijing has joined its propaganda efforts with the Biden-Harris regime in sowing hate and disinformation to make nearly half of Americans believe that the opposing party is led by an authoritarian presidential nominee who would rule as an authoritarian, throw his political enemies in prison and threaten ‘democracy’ itself. There is actually no evidence to support such a proposition while there is a great deal of evidence to suggest that is exactly what the Biden-Harris regime has been doing in waging all out war on America’s democratic traditions and doing everything they can to subvert and undermine America’s democratic election system.

While the PRC normally would want to ensure the victory of its anointed presidential candidate as it did when it helped the Democrats steal the election through Chinese-owned Dominion Voting machines using programmable Communist Venezuelan programmable Smartmatic voting software, this time it may decide to employ a different strategy. This November, they could opt to help the Democrats steal just enough votes to enable Kamala Harris to eke out the narrowest of victories within a handful of electoral votes (ie 270-268), causing Republicans to claim the election was stolen and that President-Elect Harris is an illegitimate president like Biden.

That could potentially provoke a second Capital riot on January 6, 2025 leading to the Biden regime to weaponize the FBI to crack down on Trump voters to a much larger degree that it did four years earlier. Alternatively, they could attempt to cause her to fall just short of winning in the hopes that far left Democrats and domestic terrorist organizations like Antifa and Black Lives Matter will take to the streets and burn down most of America’s largest cities, while giving them a pretext for blockading Taiwan before President Trump takes office. Both Biden and Trump are predicting violence by the other party if the other side wins and Biden has reportedly authorized the US military to use lethal force against rightwing protesters if he deems it necessary.

The most likely electoral map if Vice President Kamala Harris were only to secure the minimum number of electoral votes needed to secure her presidential election victory. I believe this map represents the most likely outcome of the election.

Either way, they undoubtedly hope that President Joe Biden, who former CIA case officer Sam Faddis has described as “a controlled CCP asset” given that his family has been paid $31 million from Chinese businesses linked to PRC military intelligence, does exactly what he told his supporters he would do at a rally on October 22^nd which is “to lock [Trump] up” when he is sentenced on November 18th even if Trump is President-Elect. The US Supreme Court might not make a decision on an appeal of his sentencing until after he is inaugurated on January 20th. If Biden and Harris were to make Trump a political prisoner as authoritarian regimes have routinely done to their political opponents abroad, then Trump’s Republican supporters will paint him as a martyr and will rail against the Biden regime giving them the potential to crack down on tens if not hundreds of thousands of patriotic Americans who stand for freedom and liberty. While a President can pardon himself for federal crimes, he cannot pardon himself for state crimes as is the case in this case although the fact that the underlying offense was federal could give him a basis to pardon himself (and thus free himself from prison) after he is inaugurated that could be appealed that could create a constitutional crisis if NY refused to recognize his authority to do so.

While the chances for an outbreak of a Second US Civil War remain relatively low, the potential for the kind of unprecedentedly contentious and disputed outcome of the November 5th presidential election is higher than ever before and, in fact, is virtually guaranteed. Confidence in the US electoral system remains at an all-time low with a Washington Post poll earlier this year showing 36% of Americans believe Biden stole the election and only 31% of Republicans believing Biden is a legitimate President. Many Americans believe the US, which was a shining example to the world in terms of election integrity just eight years ago, now has a more corrupt electoral system today than most banana republics in Latin America.

The RealClearPolitics polling average currently shows Trump 4.6% ahead of where he was in the battleground state vote in the 2020 presidential election when he won the majority of legal votes in the battleground states, but Democrats used Smartmatic voting software algorithms to overturn the democratic election outcome. It also shows him running 8.1% percent ahead of where he was when he ran against Biden four years ago in the popular vote meaning if the election were held today and were free and fair he would likely beat Harris by a substantial margin in the popular vote. There is evidence the Harris campaign is pressing the panic button as they try to revamp their strategy and get former President Barack Obama on the campaign trail along with Hollywood celebrities and rock stars to help her pull off a win. Today, The Hill published an article entitled, “Democrats Believe the Race May be Slipping Away from Harris.”

Four years ago, the Democrats stole an estimated total of six million votes enabling Joe Biden to eke out a win whereas a 43,500-vote shift in three battleground states would have enabled President Donald Trump to be re-elected. In that presidential election, Biden stole six states from Trump (AZ, PA, MI, WI, GA, NV) but he only needed to steal three of them to get elected President. This November, Democrats would only need to steal a little over 800,000 more votes in three battleground states to get Kamala Harris a win this time around according to my calculations which would amount to approximately seven million stolen votes total. This means that even if Trump wins four of the seven battleground states he might still lose the election. Democrats currently control five of the seven Governorships and five of the seven Secretaries of State in the battleground states so it's going to be an uphill battle for Trump to win because the Dems will be counting and manipulating the vote tallies.

The most likely electoral map which would result in a tie vote tossing the decision to elect our next President to the US House of Representatives

But perhaps the most contentious outcome would be an Electoral College tie vote, particularly if Kamala Harris won the popular vote and perhaps even appeared to win the initial Electoral College projection after Election Night but Trump ended up tying or winning the Electoral College when the Electoral College voted on December 15^th. That would throw the presidential election to the US House of Representatives where Republicans have a majority of the House delegations where President Trump would be sure to win. This would inflame Democrats who utterly despise the Electoral College believing it is anti-democratic and gives Trump an unfair advantage in the presidential election. Democrats would be far more likely to react to a narrow presidential election defeat with large-scale political violence than Republicans would though a narrow Harris win after Trump has been leading in the polls during the weeks preceding the election could also produce nationwide protests possibly including limited incidents of violence.

If the presidential election is very close, a faithless elector could actually change the outcome of the election by voting for someone other than the two major party candidates. If Kamala eked out a very narrow 270-268 electoral vote victory, it would only take a single faithless Democrat elector to throw the election to the US House of Representatives which, given most of its state delegations have Republican majorities, would likely vote to re-elect Trump President. If the US Senate were to remain under Democrat control, it would presumably pick Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) as Vice President. That's why if Democrats are successful in their plans to steal the 2024 presidential election, I believe Harris will likely 'win' at least 273 electoral votes to prevent that from happening.

Senator JD Vance giving a speech alongside President Donald Trump. One of the biggest themes of the Trump-Vance campaign has been to “Save America.”

Of course, it's possible that the House might be deadlocked and unable to pick a President. Then, Walz might remain Acting President until 2028 assuming the Democrats keep their Senate majority. On the other hand, if the Republicans retake control of the US Senate, Sen. JD Vance (R-OH) would become the Acting President. If the new Senate is 50-50 and the GOP loses the majority of one of its 26 state delegations, then the newly elected Speaker of the House would be Acting President, but it might take 15 ballots to elect a Speaker as it did with McCarthy a couple years ago. If the Senate didn’t elect a new Senate President Pro-Tem because they are deadlocked at 50-50 with no VP to break a tie, then Secretary of State Anthony Blinken or his successor could become Acting President, and things could get messy. However, the chances of a scenario actually materializing in which either Trump or Harris don’t win at least 270 electoral votes is very low absent faithless electors.

The only way the Democrats can retain control of the US Senate is if they defeat Sen. Deb Fischer (R-NE) or Ted Cruz (R-TX) and win the White House. I think we will most likely end up with a 50-50 Democrat Senate or 51-49 GOP Senate in January or if we win Ohio maybe even a 52-48 GOP Senate. In theory, the US House of Representatives would be easier to steal by the Democrats as the ‘toss-up’ races that will decide the election include several blue states where the vote totals could be more easily manipulated. They would only need to win 26 of the 42 ‘toss up’ races to win back control though Republicans are now leading in the RealClearPolitics generic congressional polling average by 0.8% for the first time in years. Republicans have typically been able to take or maintain control of the House even when the Democrats had a narrow edge in that poll so if polls did not change significantly and the November 5th election was free and fair, Republicans would be favored to win control of the White House, US House of Representatives and US Senate.

Ultimately, the November 5th election is likely be known as “The Chaos Election” and the most contentious and disputed election in US history with violent leftwing riots all but guaranteed if Trump wins and a risk of a potential DC riot by Republicans if they believe that Harris has overturned Trump’s re-election victory.

World War Three is on the Ballot in This Election

There was an excellent article published in The National Interest this past week underscoring the fact that World War Three is on the ballot in the upcoming November 5th presidential election. A vote for Trump-Vance is a vote for peace, prosperity and assured national survival whereas a vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for thermonuclear war and the end of our great nation.

"The larger problem is that if elected, Kamala Harris will face the most dangerous combination of international security challenges since the 1940s. During Biden’s presidency, a loosely coordinated axis of hostile regimes has ramped up their aggressions all over the world. China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea assist one another with weapons and supplies even as they eat away at American alliances overseas. Most serious analysts agree that the U.S. armed forces are not prepared under current conditions to fight and win a multi-front war against these combined dictatorships. Indeed, credible wargame simulations suggest that the United States could lose even a one-front war, notably against China over Taiwan. Xi Jinping, in particular, is the most formidable opponent the United States has faced since either Josef Stalin or Adolf Hitler. The notion that China’s current leader will be deterred or defeated by anything less than a serious change in course on the part of the United States is absurd. The United States thus needs to reorient itself from the international failings of the Biden administration. The point of such a course correction is not to encourage a third world war but to prevent it. With a second Trump administration, it is at least possible to imagine this being achieved. With another four years of the Obama-Biden-Harris approach, I see no such possibility. "

Vice President Kamala Harris laughing nervously in response to a question she did not know the answer to. She has been unable to provide direct answers to serious policy questions relating to what she would do were she to be elected President. Needless to say, bringing the US to the brink of nuclear war with Russia and perhaps China as well is no laughing matter.

The Hill reported that Trump continues to warn that Harris will get the US into World War Three if she is elected President. "Former President Trump claimed that Vice President Harris is “guaranteed” to get the United States into World War III if she is elected president, continuing intense rhetoric common throughout the 2024 campaign. “To make her president would be to gamble with the lives of millions of people,” he said. “She would get us into a World War III guaranteed because she is too grossly incompetent to do the job.” Trump continued that people’s “sons and daughters will end up getting drafted to go fight for a war in a country that you’ve never heard of.” Later in the speech, Trump vowed that he would avoid World War III even as the country has “never been so close” to it occurring."

President Trump is right. If Vice President Kamala Harris is elected President, she is virtually guaranteed to sleepwalk us into World War Three with Russia and China. Former Democrat presidential candidates Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is campaigning on behalf of Trump have also been driving home the point that a vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for World War Three, and a vote for Trump is a vote for peace and prosperity.

During a recent interview, former CIA operations officer Sam Faddis noted that the US facing multi-front nuclear "Cuban-Missile Crisis" but the media refuses to cover it. He also said that Iran could have a dozen missiles armed with nuclear warheads before we realized they had succeeded in their quest to become a nuclear power. I have been stating for many years now that reports indicates that Iran has likely already built such a nuclear missile force despite continuing to falsely claim they have not yet made a decision on whether to develop nuclear weapons.

China Likely Preparing to Attack the US Before the Next President Takes Office

During a speech on October 22^nd, President Biden admitted to be planning to imprison President Trump following his sentencing on November 18^th stating "we are going to lock him (Trump) up!" During my last interview, I predicted that Biden would imprison President Trump whether he won or lost, something we have hitherto only scene in countries ruled by authoritarian countries, unless he were to publicly state the election was not stolen from him. If the Biden-Harris regime were to follow through on Biden’s threat to make President Trump a political prisoner as I am predicting they will, it would result in unprecedented civil strife from his imprisonment as well as the hotly disputed presidential election. If Trump loses the Deep State, Iranian and possibly Chinese-backed assassination attempts on his life will go away, but if he were to win, they would likely worsen. Even if they didn’t, the civil strife resulting from his imprisonment would create a huge window of vulnerability for the US that China would likely use to blockade Taiwan given the fact that nations can't win wars when they are undergoing major civil unrest and if Biden were to attempt to defend Taiwan militarily, China would likely engage in a pre-emptive first strike on the US homeland using multiple modes of attack.

Picture of Boeing Intelsat 33e satellite similar to the one that exploded early last week

A Boeing satellite launched eight years ago exploded in space earlier this week leaving some customers without power or communication services after experiencing "an anomaly." "Russia's space agency, Roscosmos, said it had recorded "more than 80 fragments" of the destroyed satellite. Analysis of the pieces' trajectory determined that the destruction of the satellite was "instantaneous and high-energy," Roscosmos said." It is extremely rare for satellites that have been in orbit this long to spontaneously explode into twenty to eighty pieces. In fact, I haven't been able to find a single example in history of that happening while a satellite is maintaining its orbit. Might this have been a test for a Chinese space-based laser, or more likely a Chinese cyberattack, in preparation for a massive Chinese cyberattack and counterspace attack on the US homeland if the US defends Taiwan militarily from a Chinese attack during the next few months that would involve a massive counterspace attack on US satellites? I asked this question to Col. Marqus Randall, who serves as Director of Intelligence for US SPACECOM, at the Zero Gravity national security summit on October 24^th which was hosted by 47g where I serve as a member of their Cyber and Intelligence Committee. Col. Randall replied that while it was certainly possible but that he had received no intelligence to suggest that.

This summit also featured Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT), former Rep. Chris Stewart (R-UT), LTG Keith Kennedy (USAF Ret.) and former Deputy National Security Advisor Matthew Pottinger. During a national security panel, LTG Kennedy stated Russia’s invasion of Ukraine showed that the assumption that state on state conflict had ended was mistaken, apparently ignoring the fact that the US has spent the last quarter century invading, occupying or overthrowing regimes in  Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, Yugoslavia and other nations. Sen. Mitt Romney, who has made some ridiculously foolish statements about the war in Ukraine, proved to be the most articulate in describing how China has been massively outpacing the US in its military buildup and the US needs to do more to counter it. He also lamented that the $1 trillion a year in interest payments could be used to quadruple the size of America’s nuclear arsenal, something I have been calling for repeatedly over the past two decades.

A common theme during the conference, echoed by Rep. Chris Stewart was the claim that the Sino-Russian military alliance is not a real alliance and even if it is, is only a temporary axis of convenience and that China has no friends or real allies. I have heard that claim made incessantly by neoconservative pundits who love to engage in threat inflation to make the US seem as if it is the world’s strongest superpower and that US global hegemony cannot be overturned by our nuclear superpower adversaries, but they are sadly mistaken. The military strength of China's alliance system greatly overmatches our own and its important to highlight that so US leaders avoid stumbling into a nuclear war with them that the US would not survive.

National Security Panelists at the Zero Gravity Summit discuss the Ukraine and Middle East conflicts as well as the potential threat of a Chinese blockade of Taiwan

During the summit, Matthew Pottinger, a lifelong neoconservative, made a number of dubious claims. He stated that he met with Kim Jong Un and said Kim essentially stated that he knows South Korea is much more powerful than North Korea even though North Korea has an ever-expanding and increasingly advanced nuclear missile arsenal and South Korea is a non-nuclear state. He also stated that China's economy is less than two-thirds the size of ours and that Russia’s economy is thirteen times smaller. In fact, Russia’s economy is the fourth largest in the world according to the World Bank and China's GDP is 20% larger than the US by Purchase Power Parity (PPP). He alleged that the reason China is planning to attack Taiwan is because they feel threatened by its democratic system even though there is no evidence whatsoever that has ever been a motivation for China’s desire to conquer Taiwan.

Pottinger further claimed that the US would have to defend Taiwan because we would go into depression if we lost access to Taiwanese semiconductors. What does he think the effect on the US economy would be if we went to war with China and they stopped trade with us and massively cyberattacked the US homeland and took down all our critical infrastructure? The idea that the US has no choice but to go to war with China to defend Taiwan because the loss of Taiwanese semiconductors would cause a US depression is absurd. Does anyone think China would keep trading with us if we went to war with them? Of course not. They would either cut off all trade with the US or poison our food and medicine supplies with fentanyl to kill off hundreds of thousands of Americans while using their 100,000 PLA troops inside the US to attack and devastate us from within. Then instead of a 8-9% loss of GDP, we could be facing a 15-20% loss in GDP and that's assuming China didn't attack us with a massive "fire sale" cyberattack which could reduce our GDP by as much as 50-90% which they likely would on the first day of major combat operations. Bloomberg News recently quoted economists estimating the cost of a full-scale US war with China to the world economy would be in excess of $10 trillion and that is undoubtedly a major underestimation of what the true costs of such a war.

If, on the other hand, the US did not intervene or negotiated a diplomatic solution to the Taiwan issue, even under a worst-case scenario in which China took control, it would continue to sell us the semiconductors at a somewhat higher price and the economic impact to the US and the world would be minimal. As former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Elbridge Colby has rightly noted, the question thus becomes whether the costs of defending Taiwan militarily (namely the loss of our GDP and all our critical infrastructure) exceed the benefits of doing so if the chances of victory remain low. That is the assessment that US national security officials must make before we decide to enter a multifront global (and potentially nuclear) war with Russia, China, North Korea and Iran. It is essential that the US retains some level of strategic flexibility to ensure its national survival, which must remain our overriding strategic imperative. 

President Xi Jinping giving a speech at a recent Chinese Communist Party Congress. Xi was elected to a lifetime term as China’s Supreme Leader in 2018. He has repeatedly vowed to retake control of Taiwan by force if necessary within the next few years.

There are increasing signs that President Xi Jinping is preparing to make his move in retaking control of Taiwan, which he has long planned to accomplish by 2025 at the latest. On October 14^th, in response to Taiwanese President William Lai’s Unity Day speech which the PRC viewed as provocative and separatist, the PLA Eastern Theater Command conducted their Joint Sword 2024B air and naval blockade exercise simulating a full blockade of Taiwan. The exercise had the potential to convert into a full blockade as it was significantly more extensive than previous ones employing 125 aircraft and 34 ships four fleets of PLA Coast Guard vessels surrounding Taiwan but was declared complete after twenty-four hours.

This makes it unlikely that China is planning a naval blockade for later this month unless President Xi Jinping decides to execute a pre-emptive nationwide ‘fire-sale’ cyber-attack on the US homeland which would make it virtually impossible for the US to defend Taiwan militarily. I assess it to be more likely that Xi would not order a blockade of Taiwan until sometime between late November and mid-January 2025 before the next US President has been inaugurated. However, given previous indicators and warnings of a possible massive Chinese cyberattack to disrupt the November 5th US presidential election, the threat of such a cyberattack remains elevated while China could find a new pretext to blockade Taiwan later this fall or early next year at the latest.

It is also very significant that China & India just signed a border pact following decades of tension and intermittent military clashes along the disputed Sino-Indian border. In so doing, XI is securing his southern flank and Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) military alliance system of which India is a formal member to allow him to free up his troops along the Indian border to attack and occupy Taiwan and if Biden defends Taiwan militarily, Japan, the Philippines, Guam, Hawaii and beyond. US leaders should take immediate action to prevent a full-scale war with China that would threaten America’s very existence by implementing my proposed peace plan for an EU style confederation between the PRC and Taiwan that would preserve its self-rule and allow it to retain control of its armed forces.

© David T. Pyne 2024

David T. Pyne, Esq. is a former U.S. Army combat arms and Headquarters staff officer, who was in charge of armaments cooperation with the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the Americas from 2000-2003, with an M.A. in National Security Studies from Georgetown University. He currently serves as the President of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security and as a member of the Committee on the Present Danger-China. He recently served as Defense and Foreign Policy Advisor to former Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. He has also co-authored the best-selling new book, “Catastrophe Now--America’s Last Chance to Avoid an EMP Disaster” and his new book “Restoring Strategic Deterrence” will be published in December 2024. He serves as the Editor of “The Real War” newsletter at dpyne.substack.com and previously served as a contributor to “The National Interest”. Here is a link to his interview archive. He may be reached at emptaskforce.ut@gmail.com.

Recent Interviews

September 24th—Interview with Jon Twitchell on Talk with Jon on KTALK AM 1640 to discuss Biden’s escalation of the war in Ukraine which could trigger World War Three and Tucker Carlson’s recent interview with a World War Two historian. Here is a link to the interview.

September 25th—Interview with Brannon Howse to discuss China’s massive joint naval exercises with Russia in the Sea of Japan and their deployment of all three of their supercarriers for the first time ever. We will also discuss the findings of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy which concluded China is outpacing the US and the US is woefully unprepared to fight a war with nuclear great powers. Here is the link to the interview.

September 27th—Interview with Raphael Machado on behalf of a German media publishing group to discuss the ramifications of Biden’s sabotage attack on Germany’s Nord Stream pipelines, which was an attack on a NATO ally as well as the prospects for continued large-scale US and German military assistance to Ukraine. Here is a link to the first part of my interview.

October 10th—Interview with Shawn Bradley Witzemann on The American Council for Truth podcast to discuss the Uniparty neo-imperialist drive to provoke World War Three with Russia, China, North Korea and Iran, Biden’s manufactured proxy war with Russia in Ukraine, Israel’s war with Iran, an upcoming Chinese blockade of Taiwan, warnings of Iranian and Chinese cyberattacks on the US homeland and the threat from super-EMP attack. Here is the link to the interview.

October 15th—Interview with Jon Twitchell on Talk with Jon on KTALK AM 1640 to discuss the rumored threats of largescale Iranian and Chinese cyberattacks targeting US critical infrastructure designed to disrupt the November 5th presidential election. Here is the link to the interview.

October 23rd—Interview with Brannon Howse to discuss the explosion of the Boeing communications satellite that was likely a test run for a massive Chinese counterspace attack on US satellites if Biden defends Taiwan militarily. We will also discuss the risks that the November 5th presidential election will be disputed and my assessment that the Biden-Harris regime will throw President Trump in prison on November 18th whether he wins or loses. Here is a link to the interview.

Upcoming Interview

October 30th—Interview with Dave Saunders on the Mormon Renegade podcast to discuss the likely outcome of the 2024 presidential election and how Trump and Harris would pursue different policies regarding the war in Ukraine, China’s planned blockade of Taiwan and direct military strikes between Israel and Iran. We also discussed the chances of all three of those conflicts pulling in the US, Russia and China and escalating to a Third World War.