Did Taiwan Just Choose War by Electing the Pro-Independence Candidate as Its President?

The election of Taiwan’s most pro-independence president in its history earlier this month has ended PRC hopes for peaceful reunification, likely accelerating its timetable for attacking Taiwan

Taiwanese President-Elect Lai Ching-Te celebrates his victory on election night

May 23rd Update: China is engaging in large-scale joint naval and air exercises surrounding Taiwan in response to President William Lai’s inaugural address last week which it claims included “confessions of independence.” China declared. China stated the campaign showed, “strong punishment for the separatist acts of ‘Taiwan independence’ forces.” and that “The weapon aimed at ‘Taiwan independence’ to kill ‘independence’ is already in place.” This represents a major escalation from previous Chinese government rhetoric in response to the inauguration of past Taiwanese leaders increasing the likelihood of a Chinese blockade designed to “strangle” Taiwan into submission to Beijing as early as October.

January 25th Update: During a discussion this morning in which he sported a jacket emblazened with the words “Team Taiwan,” COL John Mills (USA Ret.), a national security expert who served as the Director of Cybersecurity Policy, Strategy, and International Affairs, Office of the Secretary of Defense, was asked how long Taiwan could hold out in the event of a Chinese air and naval blockade if the US did not act quickly and attempt to break it. He responded about “two weeks.” In my assessment it would take a lot longer for that for the US to assemble sufficient naval, air and amphibious forces to even have a chance to break a Chinese blockade so it would likely amount to a fait accompli as we would not be able to respond effectively to it in time. He also stated Xi Jinping is under pressure to surround and blockade Taiwan in response to the presidential election by April in order to allow sufficient time to force it to capitulate in advance of the typhoon season in June with little to no advance notice unlike an invasion scenario in which we might see the PRC mass its naval forces prior to invading. If not, he thinks China might wait until October. Like me, he has been predicting China will blockade Taiwan in an attempt to force Taiwan to surrender without the need for a full-scale amphibious invasion.

On January 13^th, Taiwan held its presidential election electing the most pro-independence President in Taiwanese history, Democratic Progressive Party presidential nominee and current Vice President Lai Ching-Te. China had previously warned Taiwan that the presidential election was a choice between war and peace and that if they chose Lai, whom they denounced as an “extreme danger” and “the destroyer of peace,” they would be choosing war, but a plurality of Taiwanese voters opted to ignore Beijing’s warnings and elect him President instead. Based on these comments, Lai’s election victory served to dash Beijing’s hopes for peaceful reunification with Taiwan and likely started a countdown to war the timetable of which only Beijing knows.

The Chinese government has since warned that Taiwan’s President-Elect will “follow an evil path towards confrontation and war” leading China experts like myself to ask whether China may be planning on attacking Taiwan shortly after he is inaugurated on May 20^th.  Last week, Admiral John Aquilino, Commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, warned the PRC is likely to demonstrate “force against Taiwan in the near term” because Taiwan elected the presidential candidate they hated and despised the most. As predicted, China resumed its provocative joint air and naval exercises near Taiwan last week following their election of a pro-independence presidential election they warned would lead to war. Ominously, China’s 2005 Anti–Secession Law authorizes the use of force to compel reunification with Taiwan once, “the possibilities for a peaceful reunification [are] completely exhausted.” With Lai’s election, it is very likely they will ascertain that is now the case.

PLA troops engaging in an amphibious assault drill on the day of the 2020 Taiwanese presidential election

A surprising number of US national security experts and even some US military leaders have bought into Communist Chinese disinformation that the PRC will not be ready for war with the US until 2027 or perhaps not even for another ten years. Others argue they lack sufficient amphibious capabilities to do so or have too much to lose because their economic growth would be substantially decreased were they to lose the hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of profits they make exporting goods to the US.  However, all of these arguments are demonstrably wrong.

Back in 2022, China militarized 365 of its Roll-On Roll-Off dual-use military ferries meaning they now have the largest amphibious fleet in the world by far. They also have the largest army, the largest navy, the largest coast guard and the largest nuclear-capable ballistic missile force in the world by far. Communist Chinese leaders have always viewed Chinese economic and industrial growth as merely a means to accomplish their primary objective of building up a world-class conventional military and nuclear arsenal superior to the United States capable of defeating us in a direct military conflict. Now that they have achieved that goal, President Xi Jinping has begun tightening economic and political controls over Chinese citizens not caring that such tough measures have caused an artificial reduction in Chinese GDP growth while he has been purging PLA military commanders who he thinks may hesitate to launch nuclear weapons at the US and its allies if ordered to as part of a full-scale war against the US and its allies over Taiwan.

President Xi has spent the last few years stockpiling massive amounts of food, fuel and other industrial raw materials to enable China to easily ride out a long economic and or military conflict with the US or even the destruction of the US and loss of our market for Chinese exports. Chinese leaders have expressed a willingness to lose 700 million Chinese citizens, totaling half of their population if necessary to win a war with the U.S. President Xi Jinping has little to no regard for the lives of his citizens, millions of which he has likely mass murdered in the laogai death camps over the past dozen years since he took power.

US national security experts talk about how they believe that the First and Second Island Chains somehow hem in the PRC and constrain it from expanding beyond the First Island Chain. However, that argument makes no sense primarily because the US has no military forces outside of 200 Special Forces troops in Taiwan (or along much of the Second Island Chain which primarily consists of empty ocean for that matter) and thus no ability to threaten Chinese air or naval forces from Taiwanese islands let alone prevent Chinese forces from leapfrogging Taiwan entirely and invading Pacific island nations beyond the First or even Second Island Chains. I speculated they might do exactly that in an article I published in July 2022 when I stated:

“China would then invade a number of islands surrounding Taiwan along with largely undefended and mostly sparsely populated island nations in the 1st and 2nd island chains. Potential Chinese targets for military occupation include the undefended Senkaku Islands, the Batanese Islands, Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, the Marshall Islands, the Solomon Islands, Nauru, Palau, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, East Timor and the Bismarck Archipelago which comprises part of Papua New Guinea. They would also likely occupy the Paracel Islands and the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea and perhaps even Brunei a small nation located on the island of Borneo. Occupation of these territories would further China’s goal of controlling international shipping lanes and enable China to establish forward military bases from which they could more credibly threaten US allies and trading partners such as Malaysia, Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand and the Philippines  with invasion.”

The US itself successfully pursued such a ‘leapfrog strategy’ against the Japanese during the Pacific War. Indeed, if it were successful in destroying US and allied naval forces in the region, there would be nothing to prevent the PLA Navy from surrounding Japan and the Philippines and stage an amphibious invasion of both Japanese and Filipino main islands without the need to invade or occupy Taiwan at all.

While a full blockade scenario would be the most likely to materialize, China would not need to blockade Taiwan’s east coast for it to be effective because its eastern ports are so small and remote that there is no way they would be sufficient to supply Taiwan against running out of food, fuel and other critical resources needed to sustain itself in the face of a Chinese blockade. Thus, the US would need to defeat the Chinese blockade of Taiwan’s northern ports at minimum in order to prevent Taiwan from being starved into surrendering. In any case, the idea that the US could successfully run the gamut of at least 1,500 Chinese anti-ship missiles many of which have effective ranges of up to 1,500 to 2,500 miles with convoys and amphibious transports escorted by US warships to Taiwan which is located about 100 miles from the PRC’s coastline seems unrealistic at best. Furthermore, if the US decided to defend Taiwan militarily there is a very good chance it would do so alone as South Korean and Filipino leaders have stated they would stay out and Japan has indicated it might as well though China would attack US bases on Japanese soil if the US acted to defend Taiwan which would bring Japan into the war. Australia has also refused to commit to go to war with the PRC to defend Taiwan.

It is possible that China could potentially get Taiwan to surrender without firing a shot. If Beijing engaged in a massive cyberattack on Taiwan, which it could disclaim responsibility for, followed by an air and naval blockade of the island, which it would likely call a “quarantine,” it could potentially compel Taiwan to agree to a peaceful reunification agreement on Beijing’s terms, without the need for any kinetic attacks unless the US or Taiwan fired the first shot or Taiwanese aircraft or ships attempted to defy the Chinese blockade.

If the PRC does take over Taiwan, it is likely to keep reselling the advanced Taiwanese semiconductors to the world except for any countries that fight or massively sanction them. Our biggest fear is that they will have a near monopoly on advanced semiconductor production so much so that some US war planners have speculated whether the US should destroy the TSMC facilities in Taiwan to prevent it from falling into Chinese hands. That said, I don't think that China cares all that much about Taiwanese advanced semiconductors, relatively speaking. Certainly, they would want to have a virtual monopoly on advanced semiconductor chips so they could blackmail western governments including the US into pursuing pro-Chinese policies. However, the primary reason they would want to invade Taiwan is to end this unclosed chapter of the Chinese Civil War by uniting all of what they consider to be Chinese territory under CCP rule and eliminating the last legitimate alternative to CCP rule of mainland China. 

Will China Blockade and Invade Taiwan This Year?

In a recent interview on Securing America with Frank Gaffney, CAPT James Fanell, former Chief of Intelligence for the US Pacific Fleet, postulated a concern in a 2020 assessment that if Beijing was unable to come up with a face-saving solution for the CCP that at least nominally restored Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan, they would retake Taiwan by force. He stated Chinese leaders ordered the PLA to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2012.  He estimates they have the capability to take back Taiwan by force today. He says China could invade Taiwan as early as immediately following America’s November 2024 presidential election if Trump wins.  Frank Gaffney says he is concerned they might invade Taiwan before the November 2024 presidential elections, a fear I share. CAPT Fannell stated that China could engage in a blockade or invasion at any time, not just when the sea states in the Taiwan Strait are ideal in April and October. I concur with that assessment. He says China is likely to attack when we least expect it rather than during those months in order to achieve a higher degree of strategic surprise. He has repeatedly stated that China would likely have a ten to one advantage over the US in warships in any conflict in the vicinity of Taiwan and the South China Sea.

CAPT Fanell being interviewed by Frank Gaffney on his Securing America Show

He said China has three campaigns it practices to use to subdue Taiwan by force:

·         Joint Fire Strike Campaign—massive missile attacks to degrade Taiwan’s armed forces, air force, navy, military headquarters, anti-ship missiles and air defenses.

·         Joint Anti-Air Raid Campaign—to destroy the ROC Air Force

·         Joint Air-Naval Blockade Campaign—to cut off Taiwan from all outside military and logistical support to compel it to surrender without the need for invasion. 

My suspicion is that they would execute all three simultaneously at the onset of the conflict while perhaps delaying a full-scale amphibious invasion of Taiwan to see how the US responds. If Biden makes good on his repeated pledges to defend Taiwan militarily, China’s war plan would be to stage a full-scale invasion of Taiwan with the primary mission of capturing Taiwanese ports most importantly the northern ports of Taipei and Keelung which they could do with a combination of clandestine troops landing from Chinese RORO ferries, air assault troops and PLA special forces already pre-positioned in Taiwan.

Then, they could pour troops and armored vehicles into the port rather than use amphibious landing vessels with D-Day style beach assaults. China would also attempt to swiftly seize control of Taiwan’s airports to transport tens of thousands of troops, light armored vehicles and supplies by air. Taiwan’s largest airport is located in northern Taoyuan city not far from the capital so its early capture would likely be a top objective for the PLA. I have seen estimates that China could finish capturing Taiwan’s capitol of Taipei City in the first two or, at most, three weeks of a full-scale amphibious invasion.

British General Sir Richard Barrons recently warned in “The Sun” magazine that with increasing Chinese drills, incursions and threats, there are fears that one small miscalculation could spark an "uncontrolled escalation" spiral leading to an all-out shooting war between the US and the PRC over Taiwan.

“With this sabre-rattling that goes on around Taiwan, it can result in an incident nobody wanted that leads to a process of escalation that people can't control - because it's driven by red mist, not political logic. That risk absolutely exists. Misunderstanding can lead to like huge escalation. It always relies on your opponent responding as you expected – and that's never guaranteed. In an environment where there's plenty of rhetoric and where there is no rational reason for going to war, you could have an incident with, for example, a hot-headed military command," he said. "It might just be a clash between two jets, or it might be a clash between a ship and a jet that results in something dramatic. That’s an aircraft shot down or a ship sunk which begins to force leadership into a corner. That’s the risk. If you look at what's happened in in another circumstances in history between big powers, there's an incident that just unlocks the steam, you end up in uncontrolled escalation. It's a bit like the way the First World War started."

I speculated much the same thing in an article I published back in November predicting that even a small-scale naval clash between the US and China over a Chinese blockade of Taiwan could rapidly escalate to the nuclear level. While many US national security experts delude themselves into believing a war with China could be contained to being an entirely conventional conflict over Taiwan and the South China Sea, the truth is such a war would likely escalate to a four-front war very quickly with China attacking Japan, the Philippines and Australia as well as the US itself with cyber, super-EMP and even nuclear weapons the PRC could use to defeat us in a single day. Meanwhile, North Korea would likely invade South Korea, Russia might invade the Baltic states and Iran might even send hundreds of thousands of troops through Iraq to Syria and Lebanon to attack Israel.

Biden Regime Covers up Chinese Bioterror Lab in US

During the aforementioned interview, Frank Gaffney, who also serves as Executive Chairman of the Center for Security Policy and Vice Chairman of the Committee on the Present Danger-China, of which I am a member, discussed the fact that Deng Xiaoping gave the PLA a secret mission in 1990 to develop biological weapons that only kill Caucasians to depopulate the US so the PLA can invade the US without effective resistance. The FBI and CDC refused to investigate a Communist Chinese bioweapon lab discovered in California near Naval Air Station Lemoore where US Super Hornet carrier air group pilots train to spread to US aircraft carriers to effectively knock them out of operation. They hung up on the woman who reported it and then didn't even look into it until three months later when it was elevated to Congress.

The Biden administration has continued to engage in a deliberate cover-up of America's very own Wuhan bioweapons lab, destroying all the evidence without even testing the biological agents to confirm what they are or what purpose the biolab had, claiming that no crimes were committed. Only under the Biden regime is a Communist Chinese lab producing biological weapons designed to kill tens of thousands of Americans in the event of war not a crime. What this episode confirms is that the Biden regime is thoroughly controlled by Communist China and covering up their crimes in Biden's ongoing attempt to appease his Communist Chinese paymasters in gratitude for the $31 million they paid Hunter Biden half of which was used to pay Joe Biden's living expenses according to Hunter. 

Reports indicate that approximately 100,000 of Chinese military age men have been apprehended entering the US since October 2019. This force is equivalent in size to an entire PLA Group Army, consisting of PLA Special Forces that could potentially have the mission of ensuring Chinese victory over the US should war break out by engaging in sabotage and kinetic attacks against key US military targets including US political and military leaders, sowing confusion behind the lines. They could also be used to disrupt and destroy critical infrastructure most importantly the US electrical power grid, spread biological weapons to kill hundreds of thousands of Americans, detonate suitcase nuclear weapons and perhaps even serve as an advance vanguard of prepare the way for a full-Chinese invasion of the West Coast following a comprehensive Chinese cyber and super-EMP attack on the US homeland.

Map showing August 2022 PLA Navy Joint Air and Naval Blockade exercise zones along with possible invasion routes. Some experts believe that a full-scale air and amphibious invasion of Taiwan could succeed in capturing the Taiwanese capital of Taipei within as little as two to three weeks.

Biden Presidency Represents a Window of Vulnerability for Chinese Attack on Taiwan

Chinese President Xi Jinping likely sees the window of vulnerability presented by the President Joe Biden who serves as a controlled asset of the CCP and the ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East as a once in a century opportunity to retake Taiwan by force and replace the US led international order with one led by the Sino-Russian alliance. Indeed, Xi said as much to Putin in remarks reported following his recent visit to Moscow. Xi would love nothing more than to present the US with a four-front war including a North Korean invasion of South Korea and an Iranian war against Israel to prevent the US from being able to effectively counter its planned blockade and invasion of Taiwan. Indeed, China may plan on using cyber super EMP weapons and perhaps even an orbital nuclear decapitation strike from space that destroys all three nuclear footballs in Washington DC if the US is still at DEFCON Four or DEFCON Five with little to no warning to wipe out the US forcing Taiwan (and perhaps even Japan and other US Pacific allies) to surrender without the need for a potentially costly invasion of Taiwan.

Contrary to popular belief, I think Biden is more likely to get us into a war with China over Taiwan based on his repeated pledges every time he has been asked that we would do so "because that is what we committed to do" (statements which he has never taken back) appearing to forget Jimmy Carter abrogated our security agreement with Taiwan over 44 years ago. I have long believed that President Trump would not risk the deaths of 275 million Americans, who would likely perish from a Chinese nuclear/super EMP attack on the US homeland, to fight what he reportedly told his former National Security Advisor John Bolton would be an unwinnable war with China over Taiwan.

In a couple of recent books including “Chaos Under Heaven” by Washington Post columnist Josh Rogan and Trump’s former National Security Advisor John Bolton’s memoir, “The Room Where it Happened,” Trump was quoted telling both Bolton and a Republican Senator in 2019, “Taiwan is like two feet from China…We are eight thousand miles away. If they invade, there isn’t a ******* thing we can do about it.” His latest remarks refusing to commit to defend Taiwan also seemed to confirm that assumption. Bolton wrote in his book that Trump often belittled Taiwan as relatively unimportant prioritizing America’s relationship with the PRC instead. He said Trump liked to compare the difference in size between China and Taiwan to the difference between his large desk in the Oval Office and the point of a Sharpie pen.

Donald Trump speaking at The National Interest while campaigning for President in 2016

Accordingly, if Trump won the November 2024 presidential election, the PRC would likely be better off to wait to blockade and attack Taiwan until he took office as if the PRC attacked Taiwan, Trump’s first inclination would not be to defend Taiwan but rather to negotiate a peace deal ending the war much like he has proposed to do with Russia ending the war in Ukraine. Accordingly, Beijing would be much more likely to get a peaceful reunification deal to defuse a Taiwan blockade crisis than to invade during the Biden presidency given his mental instability, worsening dementia and memory loss. One of my biggest fears is that Biden forgets he is a paid CCP agent and gets us destroyed in the process.

I believe that any super EMP attack scenario from Russia or China will also involve a nuclear decapitation strike on Washington DC to destroy all three nuclear footballs at the same time preventing the US from being able to engage in a nuclear retaliatory strike. If it were a Chinese EMP attack, it would likely include an orbital nuclear strike whereas if it were a Russian EMP first strike, it would likely involve a Russian Zircon hypersonic missile strike from a Russian submarine 200 miles from Washington, DC.

This past week, the International Institute for Strategic Studies warned that Russia would not be afraid to use nuclear weapons in a war with NATO because it believes Biden would not respond in kind to Russian or Chinese nuclear first use against our allies but would seek to end the conflicts to avoid a full nuclear exchange. This is what I have been saying for the past couple of years. In a survey of former senior Department of Defense and Department of State officials only one believed that they thought the US would respond militarily to a Russian use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine. I believe it is very likely that China believes they could use nuclear weapons with impunity against US allies and perhaps even US military bases in the event of war with the US for the same reason.

Meanwhile, some North Korea experts have assessed that North Korean dictator Kim Jong-Un has made the decision to go to war. However, I believe that President Xi Jinping ill only allow North Korea to invade South Korea and attack the US if the US opts to defend Taiwan militarily.  North Korea recently unveiled its cheap knockoff of Russia’s ominous Poseidon nuclear superweapon, which is an Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) which is reportedly armed with a 100 Megaton warhead over eleven times larger than the largest US nuclear warhead ever deployed and nearly 100 times larger than anything we currently have capable of traveling at speeds of up to 200 kilometers per hour. The main differences being that the North Korean version is not nuclear powered, likely has a 1-2 MT warhead and doesn't travel nearly as fast. Nevertheless, a North Korean nuclear UUV like this could pose a deadly threat to US carrier strike groups.

US Woefully Unprepared to Fight a Major War with Russia and China

While some national security analysts claim the US is already embroiled in World War Three with our enemies, that is not the case. The US is not yet involved directly in any shooting wars with adversarial powers. However, if Biden defends Taiwan militarily, the US homeland would likely be attacked with a comprehensive Chinese cyberattack on Day One of a direct war with them and many Americans might not even be aware we are at war with them until they hit us with such a massive cyber and counterspace first strike. Accordingly, Americans will know when World War Three has begun because the power will go out and may never come back on again. As I have been warning, World War Three isn't likely going to be fought halfway around the world its likely to be fought right here at home in accordance with Chinese contingency war plans dating from 2005 or perhaps even as far back as 1990. If we get hit with a genocidal super-EMP attack which decimates our population by up to ninety percent over the course of a year, the US military will likely melt away within a few months, and we will be virtually defenseless against a Communist Chinese invasion.

Former Republican presidential candidate, Patrick Buchanan, warned that globalization and unilateral free trade would lead to the deindustrialization of America’s defense manufacturing base during his presidential campaigns and now we see what a deadly threat it poses to US national security. According to a leaked US intelligence report, China is now able to produce warships at a rate 232 times faster than we can meaning that even in a purely conventional war, the PRC could build up an even more massive fleet to sweep the US from the Pacific all the way to the US West Coast much as we swept the Japanese from control of Pacific islands during World War Two..

Alarming Heritage Foundation Index of US Military Strength assessments for the US military concluding it remains weak.

The 2024 Heritage Foundation Index of US Military Strength, which was just released this morning, continues to rate the US military assessed as "weak and unprepared" for the second year in a row with US nuclear forces rated as marginal, the US Navy as weak and the USAF as very weak. The US Navy recently revealed that it only has 50-60 surface ships ready for war at any given time. An earlier report revealed that the US only has 10% of its attack submarines deployed at any time which equates to about 5 submarines due to the fact that the US has a limited shipyard capacity and the focus was on building the Columbia class nuclear missile submarines rather than maintaining the current attack submarine fleet, while only four US nuclear ballistic missile submarines are deployed at any time in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. This explains why China would enjoy regional naval superiority in any war between the US and the PRC over Taiwan. The article in Chronicles magazine came to a distressing solution:

"The crisis in the Red Sea has demonstrated that U.S. naval resources are insufficient to maintain the strategy of full spectrum dominance. The Navy is simply not up to the self-assigned, Herculean task of controlling and securing all key sea lanes, and especially choke points such as Bab el-Mandeb. The Navy is well below the goal of 75 ships ready for war at any time. Lest we forget, then-Commander of Naval Surface Forces, Vice Adm. Roy Kitchener who retired last August, announced a year ago that the fleet would aim to have 75 mission-capable ships available at all times. They would be optimally maintained, armed, and equipped—with the full complement of trained crews, ready for combat on a moment’s notice. Over the past year, according to Kitchener’s successor Vice Adm. Brendan McLane, the fleet is “kind of hovering between 50 and 60 ships on any given day.” “It seldom happens that so many significant events in world affairs happen in so few days as has been the case in the first two weeks of 2024. The second epistle of St. Peter comes to mind: “With the Lord a day is like a thousand years, and a thousand years are like a day.” There are clear signs that a series of small-to-medium fires in different parts of the world could soon explode into a global inferno.”

China recently conducted an exercise in which it simulated a YJ-21 hypersonic missile attack against US carrier strike groups.  We don't have anything like Russia’s Kinzhal ALBM (Air Launched Ballistic Missile) or China's nuclear armed YJ-21 hypersonic ALBM. One YJ-21 could potentially destroy an entire carrier strike group. The US doesn't have a single supersonic or hypersonic cruise missile, and none of our anti-ship missiles are nuclear armed. Meanwhile, the US currently has no defense against Chinese, Russian or North Korean hypersonic missiles.

Artist rendering of America’s future Sentinel ICBM also known as the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent

As the massive Chinese nuclear buildup nears completion this year, America’s Sentinel ICBM program has reportedly incurred a critical cost breach and is now at risk of cancellation without a certification by the Secretary of Defense which is beyond pathetic. US leaders should never have allowed us to be in this position of nuclear inferiority versus Russia and China with a near obsolescent nuclear arsenal much of which is over half a century old some of which likely would not even work in the event of war.

China's massive nuclear buildup took only four years. The Sentinel program is on track to take 20 years with only 20 ICBMs ready by 2031. By then the Minuteman III ICBM force will be entirely obsolete and unreliable, bringing an end to effective nuclear deterrence of our nuclear-armed adversaries. I have to wonder whether President Joe Biden will cancel the program, altogether in accordance with the wishes of House Armed Services Committee Ranking Member Adam Smith, thus entirely eliminating the land-based leg of the US nuclear triad, ending America’s nuclear superpower status and enabling Russia and China to nuke us without fear or a survivable US ICBM force.

All of these alarming developments confirm what I have been saying for the past few years which is that the US is woefully unprepared to fight a major war with the Sino-Russian military alliance and if the US did stumble into an unnecessary and avoidable Third World War with them, it would quickly escalate to the cyber, EMP and perhaps even nuclear level and America would quickly lose the war.  Accordingly, it is now more imperative than ever that US leaders act quickly to peacefully resolve its conflicts with Russia over Ukraine and with China over Taiwan with negotiated diplomatic compromise agreements as I have proposed.

© David T. Pyne 2024

David T. Pyne, Esq. is a former U.S. Army combat arms and Headquarters staff officer, who was in charge of armaments cooperation with the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the Americas from 2000-2003, with an M.A. in National Security Studies from Georgetown University. He currently serves as Executive Vice President of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security and as a member of the Committee on the Present Danger-China. He recently served as Defense and Foreign Policy Advisor to a top-tier presidential candidate. He has also co-authored the best-selling new book, “Catastrophe Now--America’s Last Chance to Avoid an EMP Disaster” and his new book “A Nuclear Posture Review for Advanced Technology Weapons” will be published in spring 2024. He serves as the Editor of “The Real War” newsletter at dpyne.substack.com and as a contributor to “The National Interest”. Here is a link to his interview archive. He may be reached at emptaskforce.ut@gmail.com.

Recent Media Interviews

December 21st-Interview with Brannon Howse on his Worldview Weekend Broadcast Network to discuss the threat of super-EMP attack from China, North Korea and Iran. Here is a link to the interview.

January 15th-Interview with Nima Rostami Alkhorshid on his “Dialogue Works” podcast to discuss the ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine. and the prospects for a peaceful end to both conflicts. Here is the link.

January 21st—Interview with former Salt Lake County District Attorney Republican nominee Danielle Ahn on her “Danielle Ahn Direct” podcast to discuss the wars in Ukraine and Gaza and the ramifications of the Taiwanese presidential election. Here is the link to the interview.

January 23rd—Interview with Jon Twitchell on his Talk with Jon show to rebut Joel Skousen’s false claims about my positions on foreign policy issues and discuss the rising threat of the war with China following the DPP presidential election victory of a candidate which China has denounced as a harbinger for war with the PRC. Here is the link to the radio interview.

January 23rd—I will be presenting a briefing at the Food Storage Depot at 10366 Redwood Road in South Jordan, Utah from 6:30-8pm entitled “How American Can Avert World War Three and Ensure our National Survival.”

Upcoming Media Interviews

January 24th—Interview with Brannon Howse on his Worldview Weekend Broadcast Network to discuss this article.

January 25th—Interview on Living Hope Esparanza to discuss the wars in Ukraine and Gaza and the coming war with China over Taiwan.

January 26th—Interview with Paul Jensen on KTALK AM 1640 from 7am-8am MDT to rebut Joel Skousen’s false claims about my positions on foreign policy issues and discuss the ongoing wars in Ukraine and Gaza and the possibility they may escalate to World War Three

January 31st—Interview with Brannon Howse on his Worldview Weekend Broadcast Network to discuss the increasing Chinese cyber threat, the chances of war with China over Taiwan later this year, the Iranian nuclear threat and how the US should respond to Iranian proxy attacks in the Middle East.

February 2nd—Interview with Jared Anderson and Holly Crowley-Rabanne who host the Tooele Happy Hour podcast to discuss what our citizens can do to help save America from an unnecessary world war with Russia and China as well as what they can do to help save their families in the event the power gets turned off for good at the start of a catastrophic war.

April 18th—I will be presenting an extensive briefing at the Firm Foundation Expo at the Mountain America Expo Center at 9575 South State Street in Sandy, Utah at 5pm to discuss the increasing threat of World War Three with Russia, China, North Korea and Iran and what we need to do to avert it.